tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 92%

  1. 10:10 MDW → 12:30 LAX
    WN 2433 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:30 LAX → 18:06 SMF
    UA 5858 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 56mMDW 10:10 to SMF 18:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.