tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 78%

  1. 10:10 MDW → 12:30 LAX
    WN 2433 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 LAX → 15:25 SMF
    WN 2008 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 15mMDW 10:10 to SMF 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.