tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Dallas via Tampa: arrives on time 27%

  1. 18:30 ATL → 20:05 TPA
    WN 245 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 TPA → 22:55 DAL
    WN 4015 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 45% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip5h 25mATL 18:30 to DAL 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.