tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Ontario via Dallas: arrives on time 56%

  1. 09:35 LGA → 12:15 DAL
    WN 2451 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 DAL → 15:25 ONT
    WN 1375 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip8h 50mLGA 09:35 to ONT 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.