tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Oakland via Denver: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:55 LGA → 09:05 DEN
    WN 2454 · Southwest · 4h 10m · 80% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 DEN → 12:18 OAK
    WN 1577 · Southwest · 2h 32m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 22mLGA 06:55 to OAK 12:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.