tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Tampa via Denver: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:55 LGA → 09:05 DEN
    WN 2454 · Southwest · 4h 10m · 80% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 DEN → 15:45 TPA
    WN 3560 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 50mLGA 06:55 to TPA 15:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.