tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Ontario via Denver: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:55 LGA → 09:05 DEN
    WN 2454 · Southwest · 4h 10m · 80% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:55 DEN → 12:10 ONT
    WN 4080 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 15mLGA 06:55 to ONT 12:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.