tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Oklahoma City via Denver: arrives on time 28%

  1. 14:00 LGA → 16:20 DEN
    WN 2455 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 51% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 DEN → 20:05 OKC
    WN 1653 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip7h 05mLGA 14:00 to OKC 20:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.