tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Oakland via Denver: arrives on time 27%

  1. 14:00 LGA → 16:20 DEN
    WN 2455 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 51% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 DEN → 20:25 OAK
    WN 1843 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip9h 25mLGA 14:00 to OAK 20:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.