tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Burbank via Denver: arrives on time 16%

  1. 16:50 LGA → 19:30 DEN
    WN 2456 · Southwest · 4h 40m · 41% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 DEN → 21:50 BUR
    WN 1497 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip8h 00mLGA 16:50 to BUR 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.