tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Oakland via Denver: arrives on time 29%

  1. 16:50 LGA → 19:30 DEN
    WN 2456 · Southwest · 4h 40m · 41% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 DEN → 23:45 OAK
    WN 1650 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip9h 55mLGA 16:50 to OAK 23:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.