tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:00 LGA → 07:20 MDW
    WN 2464 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:54 MDW → 11:35 MSP
    DL 5469 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 35mLGA 06:00 to MSP 11:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.