tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:00 LGA → 07:20 MDW
    WN 2464 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 MDW → 12:50 HOU
    WN 2783 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 50mLGA 06:00 to HOU 12:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.