tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dallas via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 07:25 LGA → 08:50 MDW
    WN 2465 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 76% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 MDW → 12:15 DAL
    WN 1487 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 50mLGA 07:25 to DAL 12:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.