tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Long Beach → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 10%

  1. 14:50 LGB → 18:05 DEN
    WN 2479 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 DEN → 19:50 PHX
    WN 1683 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 29% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (29%).
Total trip5h 05mLGB 14:50 to PHX 19:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.