tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Long Beach → Denver via Phoenix: arrives on time 16%

  1. 16:15 LGB → 17:35 PHX
    WN 2493 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 PHX → 21:25 DEN
    WN 3266 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 24% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Long Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (24%).
Total trip4h 10mLGB 16:15 to DEN 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.