tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Long Beach → Chicago via Sacramento: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:55 LGB → 08:20 SMF
    WN 2503 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 SMF → 17:55 MDW
    WN 3769 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 72% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Long Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip9h 00mLGB 06:55 to MDW 17:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.