tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 95%

  1. 20:10 LIH → 05:00 LAS
    WN 2514 · Southwest · 5h 50m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:10 LAS → 07:45 SMF +1 day
    WN 4589 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip8h 35mLIH 20:10 to SMF 07:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.