tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 90%

  1. 07:10 MDW → 08:45 PHX
    WN 2520 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 88% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:05 PHX → 15:18 SEA
    DL 2419 · Delta · 3h 13m · 94% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip10h 08mMDW 07:10 to SEA 15:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.