tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Louisville via Chicago: arrives on time 95%

  1. 05:00 MSP → 06:30 MDW
    WN 2520 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:45 MDW → 10:05 SDF
    WN 1267 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip4h 05mMSP 05:00 to SDF 10:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.