tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Raleigh/Durham via Nashville: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:40 MCI → 09:15 BNA
    WN 2531 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 93% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:00 BNA → 14:42 RDU
    AA 4639 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 03mMCI 07:40 to RDU 14:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.