tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Panama City Beach via Denver: arrives on time 10%

  1. 16:15 MCI → 17:05 DEN
    WN 2549 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 DEN → 22:00 ECP
    WN 4379 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection26%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 74% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (26%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip5h 45mMCI 16:15 to ECP 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.