tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Sacramento via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:15 MCI → 07:40 MDW
    WN 2569 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:20 MDW → 12:40 SMF
    WN 2094 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 25mMCI 06:15 to SMF 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.