tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 95%

  1. 22:40 SAN → 04:40 MDW
    WN 257 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:00 MDW → 08:45 DCA +1 day
    WN 4976 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time95%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip7h 05mSAN 22:40 to DCA 08:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.