tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Portland via Chicago: arrives on time 20%

  1. 14:10 MCI → 15:35 MDW
    WN 2572 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 48% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 MDW → 19:00 PDX
    WN 4765 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (33%).
Total trip6h 50mMCI 14:10 to PDX 19:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.