tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → El Paso via Denver: arrives on time 15%

  1. 18:35 AUS → 20:05 DEN
    WN 2573 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 DEN → 22:50 ELP
    WN 1319 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 49% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection32%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 68% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (32%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 10mAUS 18:35 to ELP 22:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.