tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → San Jose via Denver: arrives on time 22%

  1. 18:35 AUS → 20:05 DEN
    WN 2573 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 DEN → 22:55 SJC
    WN 1728 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 37% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (37%).
Total trip6h 20mAUS 18:35 to SJC 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.