tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Seattle via Denver: arrives on time 14%

  1. 18:35 AUS → 20:05 DEN
    WN 2573 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DEN → 23:10 SEA
    WN 3856 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 28% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (28%).
Total trip6h 30mAUS 18:35 to SEA 23:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.