tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → San Diego via New Orleans: arrives on time 29%

  1. 15:35 MCI → 17:35 MSY
    WN 2577 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 MSY → 20:15 SAN
    WN 3018 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip6h 40mMCI 15:35 to SAN 20:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.