tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → New York via Phoenix: arrives on time 79%

  1. 18:30 MCI → 19:15 PHX
    WN 2580 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 41% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:50 PHX → 05:47 JFK +1 day
    AA 1587 · American · 4h 57m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 17mMCI 18:30 to JFK 05:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.