tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Fort Lauderdale via Nashville: arrives on time 14%

  1. 16:30 AUS → 18:40 BNA
    WN 259 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:40 BNA → 22:55 FLL
    WN 522 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip5h 25mAUS 16:30 to FLL 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.