tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Orlando via Baltimore: arrives on time 20%

  1. 11:40 DAL → 15:35 BWI
    WN 2595 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 56% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 BWI → 19:00 MCO
    WN 176 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 42% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip6h 20mDAL 11:40 to MCO 19:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.