tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → New Orleans via Nashville: arrives on time 26%

  1. 15:30 DEN → 19:05 BNA
    WN 2597 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 BNA → 21:50 MSY
    WN 4475 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 20mDEN 15:30 to MSY 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.