tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Austin via Nashville: arrives on time 9%

  1. 15:50 MCO → 16:58 BNA
    WN 2606 · Southwest · 2h 08m · 52% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 BNA → 19:55 AUS
    WN 1900 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (33%).
Total trip5h 05mMCO 15:50 to AUS 19:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.