tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Las Vegas via St Louis: arrives on time 33%

  1. 20:35 CMH → 21:00 STL
    WN 2614 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 STL → 23:18 LAS
    WN 3936 · Southwest · 3h 28m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 43mCMH 20:35 to LAS 23:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.