tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → New Orleans via Denver: arrives on time 15%

  1. 15:50 MCO → 18:10 DEN
    WN 2632 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:05 DEN → 22:48 MSY
    WN 3301 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 36% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip7h 55mMCO 15:50 to MSY 22:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.