tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Long Beach → Phoenix via Dallas: arrives on time 35%

  1. 09:30 LGB → 14:30 DAL
    WN 264 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 DAL → 15:45 PHX
    WN 4129 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 15mLGB 09:30 to PHX 15:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.