tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:45 MCO → 18:45 LAS
    WN 2648 · Southwest · 4h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 LAS → 21:40 SJC
    WN 2352 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 55mMCO 16:45 to SJC 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.