tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Francisco via Las Vegas: arrives on time 13%

  1. 16:45 MCO → 18:45 LAS
    WN 2648 · Southwest · 4h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 LAS → 21:35 SFO
    WN 4397 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 17% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (17%).
Total trip7h 50mMCO 16:45 to SFO 21:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.