tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Diego via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 07:25 MCO → 09:15 MDW
    WN 2654 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:08 MDW → 12:15 SAN
    WN 4648 · Southwest · 4h 08m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 51mMCO 07:25 to SAN 12:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.