tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → El Paso via Denver: arrives on time 77%

  1. 09:55 MDW → 11:30 DEN
    WN 2654 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 68% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:22 DEN → 17:14 ELP
    F9 2261 · Frontier · 1h 54m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 21mMDW 09:55 to ELP 17:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.