tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Wichita via Denver: arrives on time 77%

  1. 09:55 MDW → 11:30 DEN
    WN 2654 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 68% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:59 DEN → 16:34 ICT
    UA 5454 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 85% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 39mMDW 09:55 to ICT 16:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.