tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Richmond via Denver: arrives on time 47%

  1. 09:55 MDW → 11:30 DEN
    WN 2654 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 68% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:02 DEN → 18:25 RIC
    WN 1693 · Southwest · 3h 22m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip7h 29mMDW 09:55 to RIC 18:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.