tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Kansas City via Chicago: arrives on time 19%

  1. 18:55 MCO → 20:50 MDW
    WN 2660 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 38% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 MDW → 23:20 MCI
    WN 2814 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 58% on time, 8.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (8.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 22mMCO 18:55 to MCI 23:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.