tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Columbus via St Louis: arrives on time 28%

  1. 18:00 PHL → 19:30 STL
    WN 2679 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 52% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 STL → 22:55 CMH
    WN 4812 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 55mPHL 18:00 to CMH 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.