tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Fort Lauderdale via Baltimore: arrives on time 31%

  1. 21:10 SFO → 05:25 BWI
    WN 2683 · Southwest · 5h 15m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:15 BWI → 08:55 FLL +1 day
    WN 4627 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 45mSFO 21:10 to FLL 08:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.