tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → New Orleans via Washington: arrives on time 18%

  1. 16:20 ATL → 18:15 DCA
    WN 2699 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 DCA → 20:50 MSY
    WN 1453 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 50% on time, 15.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (15.8% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 30mATL 16:20 to MSY 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.