tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 24%

  1. 16:05 TUL → 17:50 MDW
    WN 2717 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 56% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 MDW → 21:48 CLT
    WN 4194 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip4h 43mTUL 16:05 to CLT 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.