tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Hebron via Chicago: arrives on time 54%

  1. 05:00 PHX → 10:20 MDW
    WN 2723 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 MDW → 15:10 CVG
    WN 1247 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 56% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 10mPHX 05:00 to CVG 15:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.