tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Tampa via Austin: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:20 MDW → 07:50 AUS
    WN 2726 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 AUS → 12:05 TPA
    WN 411 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 45mMDW 05:20 to TPA 12:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.